City and Regional Planning / Şehir ve Bölge Planlama
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/11147/4274
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Article Citation - WoS: 18Citation - Scopus: 19A Suppressed Demand Analysis Method of the Transportation Disadvantaged in Policy Making(Taylor and Francis Ltd., 2009) Duvarcı, Yavuz; Mizokami, ShoshiThis paper proposes a method for estimating transportation supply requirements when the suppressed demand of the transportation disadvantaged (TD) can be calculated and added to existing demand for travel. The underlying assumption is that the travel conditions of these TD groups must be equal to the 'conventional' demand, known as 'full release'. Utilising the modelling approach for TD, suppressed demand analysis, diagnosis of difficulties and equity between conventional and disadvantaged groups were realised, while elaborating special cases for the most vulnerable TD groups (such as elderly and disabled persons) and simultaneously identifying areas of difficulty. From the early virtual results, it is concluded that, for the full release of suppressed trips (only a 5% increase), policy makers must be ready to face some financial burdens, requiring coordination of effort to both standardise these TD groups and reduce the costs incurred by operators.Article Citation - WoS: 2Citation - Scopus: 3Can Tube Tunnel Crossings Relieve Urban Congestion Problems? Izmir Tube Tunnel Project Proposal Under Scrutiny(MDPI Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute, 2019) Duvarcı, Yavuz; Yiğitcanlar, TanBuilding underwater tube tunnel crossings to ease the urban congestion problems has become a popular approach for many cities across the globe. London, New York, Istanbul, Hamburg, Sydney and Brisbane are among these cities. However, the effectiveness and externalities of these expensive mega urban infrastructures have also been questioned widely among urban, transport and environmental planning scholars. Given the international popularity of the topic, this study places a new tube tunnel crossings project from Izmir, Turkey under the microscope. In this heuristic simulation study, policy-on scenarios were tested to determine possible impacts of the underwater tube tunnel-crossing project. The traffic impacts are discussed using simulations assigning the initial origin-destination data. The results of the study revealed that, given the two locations, outer and inner locations over the dagger-shape bay, the capacity increments on the bridge links and the links around the periphery highway did not bring any effective solutions beyond some minor improvements. The findings disclosed that the ineffectiveness of the tube tunnel crossing might be due to the excessive congestion happening all over the downtown area, which clogs the passageways to the bridge. The paper highlights the limitations of the tube tunnel-crossing project, emphasises the need for comprehensive investigations before committing to the project and advocates the emphasis to be actually given for sustainable mobility.Article Citation - WoS: 3Citation - Scopus: 4İzmir’deki Ulaştırma Projelerinin Kentsel Eğilimlere Etkileri(TMMOB İnşaat Mühendisleri Odası, 2008) Duvarcı, Yavuz; Selvi, Ömer; Günaydın, Hüsnü Murat; Gür, Güneşİzmir’deki önemli ulaştırma projelerinin kentsel eğilimlere olan etkileri Delphi yöntemi sonuçları temel alınarak analiz edilmiştir. Delphi yöntemine göre yakınsama sağlanmış etkiler, sonrasında daha anlamlı ve özet sonuçlar elde etmek amacıyla toplamdaki etkiler yöntemiyle yeniden değerlendirilmiştir. Yönteme göre, mutlak toplam etkilere (MED), net toplam etkilere (NED) ve en genel anlamda etki yeterlik düzeylerine bakılarak genel sonuçlara ulaşılmıştır. En etkili (olumlu/olumsuz yönde) projeler, bütünleştirilmiş raylı toplu taşıma sistemi, mevcut İzmir limanının geliştirilmesi; en fazla etkilenen sosyoekonomik eğilimler ise turizm sektöründeki gelişim, ekonomik gelişme, hava kirliliği ve özel araç kullanım oranı olarak çıkmıştır.Conference Object Making Accident Data Compatible With Its-Based Traffic Management: Turkish Case(Intelligent Transport Systems, 2010) Duvarcı, Yavuz; Geçer Sargın, Feral; Kumova, Bora İsmail; Çınar, Ali Kemal; Selvi, ÖmerOne of the most important reasons of the high rate of accidents would largely lend itself to ineffective data collection and evaluation process since the necessary information cannot be obtained effectively from the traffic accidents reports (TAR). The discord and dealing with non-relevant data may appear at four levels: (1) Country and Cultural, (2) Institutional and organizational, (3) Data collection, (4) Data analysis and Evaluation. The case findings are consistent with this knowledge put forward in the literature; there is a transparency problem in coordination between the institutions as well as the inefficient TAR data, which is open to manipulation; the problem of under-reporting and inappropriate data storage prevails before the false statistical evaluation methods. The old-fashioned data management structure causes incompatibility with the novel technologies, avoiding timely interventions in reducing accidents and alleviating the fatalities. Transmission of the data to the interest agencies for evaluation and effective operation of the ITS-based systems should be considered. The problem areas were explored through diagnoses at institutional, data collection, and evaluation steps and the solutions were determined accordingly for the case city of Izmir.Conference Object Citation - Scopus: 1A Framework for Integrating Disadvantaged Analysis Into Transportation Planning Models(Gold Coast, 2006) Yiğitcanlar, Tan; Duvarcı, YavuzThe ability to access personal or public transportation is fundamental for people to connect with employment opportunities, health and medical services, educational services, and the community at large. However certain populations lack the ability to provide their own transportation or have difficulty accessing whatever conventional public transportation may be available (Department of Transportation 2003). The ‘transportation disadvantaged’ populations are those persons who are unable to transport themselves or are unable to purchase transportation due to physical or mental disability, income status, or age. Therefore, the transportation disadvantaged are dependent upon others to obtain access to health care, employment, education, shopping, and other life sustaining activities. Additionally, since disadvantage is a personal experience, it can be simply characterised as what people perceive to be transportation disadvantage (Raje 2003).Article Citation - WoS: 23Citation - Scopus: 23Transportation Disadvantage Impedance Indexing: a Methodological Approach To Reduce Policy Shortcomings(Elsevier Ltd., 2015) Duvarcı, Yavuz; Yiğitcanlar, Tan; Mizokami, ShoshiAccess to transport systems and the connection to such systems provided to essential economic and social activities are critical to determine households' transportation disadvantage levels. In spite of the developments in better identifying transportation disadvantaged groups, the lack of effective policies resulted in the continuum of the issue as a significant problem. This paper undertakes a pilot case investigation as test bed for a new approach developed to reduce transportation policy shortcomings. The approach, 'disadvantage-impedance index', aims to ease transportation disadvantages by employing representative parameters to measure the differences between policy alternatives run in a simulation environment. Implemented in the Japanese town of Arao, the index uses trip-making behaviour and resident stated preference data. The results of the index reveal that even a slight improvement in accessibility and travel quality indicators makes a significant difference in easing disadvantages. The index, integrated into a four-step model, proves to be highly robust and useful in terms of quick diagnosis in capturing effective actions, and developing potentially efficient policies.Article Citation - WoS: 2Citation - Scopus: 1Significance of Rent Attributes in Prediction of Earthquake Damage in Adapazari, Turkey(Czech Technical University in Prague, 2014) Tayfur, Gökmen; Bektaş, Birkan; Duvarcı, YavuzThis paper analyses rent-based determinants of earthquake damage from an urban planning perspective with the data gathered from Adapazari, Turkey, after the disaster in 1999 Eastern Marmara Earthquake (EME). The study employs linear regression, log-linear regression, and artificial neural networks (ANN) methods for cross-verification of results and for finding out the significant urban rent attribute(s) responsible for the damage. All models used are equally capable of predicting the earthquake damage and converge to similar results even if the data are limited. Of the rent variables, the physical density is proved to be especially significant in predicting earthquake damage, while the land value contributes to building resistance. Thus, urban rent can be the primary tool for planners to help reduce the fatalities in preventive planning studies.Conference Object Citation - WoS: 2Citation - Scopus: 2Contribution of the Personal Rapid Transit (prt) Systems To the Road Safety: a Scenario-Based Comparative Evaluation(Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies, 2012) Duvarcı, Yavuz; Akpınar, FigenThough the number of "real ground" PRT projects are few, it can be possible to deduce some hypothetical safety conclusions. For the very optimist assumption that the control algorithms will only "allow" them to operate in non-collision mode on the network, the safety figures are re-evaluated for two urban settings: First (1) is the case where the urban design was fully recreated based on PRT system. The other (2) is the hypothetical PRT system would be embedded into the existing transportation system. The two cases of the safety measures and cost figures are compared to evaluate the opportunities and pitfalls by the application of a PRT system via the scenario analysis. By doing so, after description of the present situation, there comes the construction of possible alternative futures to compare with the present one. It can be deduced that, even if the safety figures of PRT system are hypothetical, PRT-based urban environments promise a lot in terms of safety levels (as far as 80 per cent) with, however, the expense of financial burden for the local government. Yet, for low-cost solution, PRT-embedded urban environments also provide promising results compared to "doing nothing" as far as 30 per cent reductions, in accidents in total and 44 per cent in deaths.Article Citation - WoS: 9Citation - Scopus: 11Variant Concept of Transportation-Disadvantaged: Evidence From Aydın, Turkey, and Yamaga, Japan(American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), 2011) Duvarcı, Yavuz; Yiğitcanlar, Tan; Alver, Yalçın; Mizokami, ShoshiTransportation-disadvantaged groups have been defined in previous studies as those who are low income earners, are family dependent, have limited access to private motor vehicles and public transport services, and are obliged to spend relatively more time and money on their trips. Additionally the disabled, young, and elderly are commonly considered to be among the transportation-disadvantaged. Although generally this definition seems correct, it is not specific enough to become a universal definition that could apply to all urban contexts. This paper investigates whether perceptions of travel difficulty vary as does the definition of transportation-disadvantaged in socioculturally different urban contexts. For this investigation, the writers undertake a series of statistical analyses in a case study of Yamaga, Japan, and compare the findings with a previous case study, in which the same methodology, hypothesis, and assumptions were applied to a culturally and demographically different settlement in Aydin, Turkey. After comparing the findings observed in Aydin with the statistical analysis results in Yamaga, this paper reveals that there can be no detailed, universal definition of the transportation-disadvantaged. The writers conclude that the characteristics of the transportation-disadvantaged are not globally identical, and policies and solutions that work in one locality may not have the same results in another sociocultural context.Conference Object A Data Coding and Screening System for Accident Risk Patterns: A Learning System(WITPress, 2011) Geçer Sargın, Feral; Geçer Sargın, Feral; Duvarcı, Yavuz; Duvarcı, Yavuz; İnan, E.; İnan, E.; Kumova, Bora İsmail; Kumova, Bora İsmail; Atay Kaya, İlgi; Atay Kaya, İlgiAccidents on urban roads can occur for many reasons, and the contributing factors together pose some complexity in the analysis of the casualties. In order to simplify the analysis and track changes from one accident to another for comparability, an authentic data coding and category analysis methods are developed, leading to data mining rules. To deal with a huge number of parameters, first, most qualitative data are converted into categorical codes (alpha-numeric), so that computing capacity would also be increased. Second, the whole data entry per accident are turned into ID codes, meaning each crash is possibly unique in attributes, called 'accident combination', reducing the large number of similar value accident records into smaller sets of data. This genetical code technique allows us to learn accident types with its solid attributes. The learning (output averages) provides a decision support mechanism for taking necessary cautions for similar combinations. The results can be analyzed by inputs, outputs (attributes), time (years) and the space (streets). According to Izmir's case results; sampled data and its accident combinations are obtained for 3 years (2005 - 2007) and their attributes are learned. © 2011 WIT Press.
