Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / Scopus Indexed Publications Collection

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  • Article
    Citation - Scopus: 11
    Non-Linear Regional Income Divergence and Policies: Turkey Case
    (Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, 2015) Duran, Hasan Engin; 01. Izmir Institute of Technology; 02.03. Department of City and Regional Planning; 02. Faculty of Architecture
    The literature on economic convergence is strongly influenced by Neo-Classical Growth model. It describes a monotone saddle path along which each economy converges towards a unique steady state. Commonly employed method in convergence analysis is the linear cross-sectional regressions which links the annual growth rate of regions to their initial income level. Ignoring the non-linearities is important from a policy perspective that implications obtained from a linear regression can be very different to the policies learned from a nonlinear case. Aim of the present study is to analyze regional income convergence in Turkey by using nonparametric convergence regressions. We implement our study for 67 provinces and a period 1975-2000. We find that the relationship between initial income and growth takes a inverted-U shape which means that the very low-income and high-income group of provinces experince a slow growth pattern compared to middle-income group. This has several implications for regional economic policies. First, middle-income provinces are able to stimulate their economies and fulfill their potential for convergence by market forces. Second, however, the very low-income provinces need a substantial help and assistance.It, therefore, becomes a natural necessity to direct policy instruments such as subsidies, direct and indirect income transfers, tax exemptions and other resources to these areas. In this way, nonparametric estimations provide a very useful guide to the way how the resources should be allocated across provinces. © 2015 Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists. All rights reserved.
  • Article
    Citation - Scopus: 3
    Regional Unemployment Dynamics in Turkey
    (Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, 2019) Duran, Hasan Engin; Duran, Hasan Engin; 02.03. Department of City and Regional Planning; 02. Faculty of Architecture; 01. Izmir Institute of Technology
    Aim of the study is to investigate region specific causes of unemployment for Turkish 26 Nuts-2 regions between 2004-2017. We aim at contributing to the literature by analyzing (i) whether regional unemployment and sub-groups (with respect to gender, age, education) is driven by excessive labor supply or shortage of labor demand, (ii) which sub-groups have higher unemployment in regions. In terms of methodology, we employ descriptive and exploratory analyses, spatial tests and panel regressions. Our findings indicate three main results: First, there is a sizable difference in unemployment rates across regions and the dispersion is getting stronger over time. Second, there are extremely low and high unemployment rates in various sub-groups and regions. Third, changes in unemployment is mostly driven by changes in labor supply rather than demand. Among the 208 cases (26 regions x 8 sub-groups), in 154 cases, the major driver of unemployment is the excessive labor supply. © 2019 Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists. All rights reserved.