Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / Scopus Indexed Publications Collection
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/11147/7148
Browse
2 results
Search Results
Article In-Depth Analysis of Drought Trend in Semiarid Saïs Plateau and Middle Atlas Region in Morocco(Springer int Publ Ag, 2025) Qadem, Zohair; Tayfur, Gokmen; Kankal, MuratThis study explores the spatiotemporal properties of droughts and their evolution in the semiarid Sa & iuml;s Plateau and the Middle Atlas regions in Morocco. The methodology includes the analysis of 36 years of precipitation data recorded at 16 meteorological stations, the use of the standardized precipitation index (SPI) at different temporal scales of short term (1 and 3 months), medium term (6 months), and long term (12 and 24 months) to capture historical droughts, and the application of the Mann-Kendall test to assess the drought trends. The wet and dry periods in the Sa & iuml;s Plateau and Middle Atlas regions are almost evenly distributed, with 65% in the "near-normal" condition. The "extremely dry" period, with a value of 1%, was lower than the "extremely humid" period (1.65%). There is no topographically and climatically significant difference between the Sa & iuml;s Plateau and the Middle Atlas in terms of droughts, which are found to decrease over time in both regions. The results of Mann-Kendall test reveal that the short-term trends are generally positive, except at the Boulemane station (- 0.06 for SPI-1, - 0.13 for SPI-3). The long-term precipitation increases in the Middle Atlas region, particularly at the Ait Khabach (0.33 for SPI-24) and the Imouzzer (0.36 for SPI-24) stations. On the Sa & iuml;s Plateau, the trends are positive at the stations of Fez City (0.16 for SPI-24) and Dar Elarsa (0.27 for SPI-24). Significant trends are more pronounced at longer time scales.Article Citation - WoS: 18Citation - Scopus: 18In-Depth Exploration of Temperature Trends in Morocco: Combining Traditional Methods of Mann Kendall With Innovative Ita and Ipta Approaches(Springer Basel Ag, 2024) Qadem, Zohair; Tayfur, GökmenThis study examines trends in minimum and maximum temperatures at various climate stations located in different regions of Morocco for a period of five decades (1970 to 2019). Mann-Kendall, Sen's estimator, Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA) and Innovative Polygon Trend Analysis (IPTA) were used in the analysis. The results show significant fluctuations, at different time scales, between minimum and maximum temperatures at all stations. In coastal areas, such as Rabat Sale, minimum temperatures fell during January and February while other months saw increases. Average minimum temperatures in Rabat Sale tend to fall by 0.5 degree celsius. On the other hand, maximum temperatures in Rabat Sale rose by 0.2 degrees C. A decrease of 0.4 degree celsius for T-min and 1.6 degree celsius for T-max were observed in higher continental regions, such as Meknes. Other stations, such as Fez Sais (0.6 degree celsius T-min and 2.6 degree celsius T-max) and Taza (1.1 degree celsius T-min and 2.6 degree celsius T-max) showed an upward trend. Trends also vary, with notable increases in minimum and maximum temperatures, indicating different climatic dynamics according to altitude and locality. In particular, the ITA highlights a significant increase in annual maximum temperatures, with a P-value < 0.05 and trend slopes ranging from 0.0015 degree celsius per year in Rabat Sale to 0.0076 degree celsius per year in Taza. In addition, the IPTA results confirm diversity of upward and downward trends on monthly and seasonal scales, highlighting impact of geographical factors such as proximity to sea, topography, and continentality that contribute to formation of regional microclimates. The results highlight significant impact of climate change in Morocco.