Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / Scopus Indexed Publications Collection
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/11147/7148
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Conference Object Assessment of Drought in Izmir District Using Standardized Precipitation Index(Springer Nature, 2025) Mersin, D.; Gulmez, A.; Safari, M.J.S.; Vaheddoost, B.; Tayfur, G.One of the main issues with agro-food and socio-economical security in the world is droughts. Regardless of cause or effect, the ever-changing climate is placing increasing strain on water resources pushing supply to its limits. Izmir, a growing city in Turkey, is endowed with variety of water resources, such as lakes, rivers, seashores, and groundwater reserves. Therefore, it is crucial for the planning and development of the area to examine past and foreseeable drought occurrences and their possible impact on water resources. In this regard, the study’s goal is to assess historical droughts in Izmir District. Data from three meteorological stations in Küçük Menderes basin, collected between 1973 and 2020, are utilized in this study. To establish the validity of the posterior drought analysis, the consistency and trend in the time series are first examined using the double mass curve, run test, and linear trend analysis. The next step is to assess the historical deficit related to meteorological, agricultural, and hydrological droughts using the SPI and moving mean (MA) operator. The temporal analysis of SPI reveals distinct drought patterns across the stations, with multiple moderate to extreme droughts occurring particularly between 1998 and 2010, highlighting significant spatial and temporal variability in drought severity and frequency. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2025.Article Citation - WoS: 35Citation - Scopus: 38Historical Trends Associated With Annual Temperature and Precipitation in Aegean Turkey, Where Are We Heading?(MDPI, 2022) Mersin, Demirhan; Tayfur, Gökmen; Vaheddoost, Babak; Safari, Mir Jafar SadeghThe trend analysis of annual temperature (daily average) and total precipitation has been conducted for 14 stations located in the Aegean Region, Turkey. The Sen, Spearman’s rho, and Mann-Kendall test methods are used in the detection of the historical trends in the region. The Pettitt test is also implemented to find the significance of the trend, while the Theil-Sen approach is applied to detect the change point(s) in the time series. Findings of the following study indicate that both precipitation and temperature time series in the selected stations depict statistically significant trends with increasing nature. The rate of increase in precipitation and temperature by the Theil-Sen test is found to be 4.2–7.9 mm/year and 0.20–0.35 °C/decade, respectively. It is also found that the turn points of the temperature trends determined by the Pettitt test occurred in 1998 for all the stations. According to the results, the magnitude of the extreme events would change in the future, which may help in conceptualizing the framework and the resilience of the infrastructures against climate change.