Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / Scopus Indexed Publications Collection

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  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 7
    Citation - Scopus: 5
    Meteorological Drought and Trend Effects on Transboundary River Basins in Afghanistan
    (Springer, 2023) Hayat, Ehsanullah; Tayfur, Gökmen
    Afghanistan, as a landlocked country located within central and southwestern Asia, has an arid to semi-arid climate. Most of the people are involved in agricultural activities, and a major part of the country's gross domestic product depends on agriculture, but the country has the lowest water storage capacity. Consecutive periods of drought and rapid snowmelt due to climate change have made it more challenging for suitable water resource management practices. This study investigates the historical meteorological drought characteristics across the whole country by employing the Reconnaissance Drought Index for the period 1979-2019 using data from 55 meteorological stations. Trends in precipitation and temperature are also investigated using the Mann-Kendall's and the Sen's slope statistical tests. A four-decadal countrywide drought map is generated. Extreme and severe droughts were observed in 1999 and 2000 across the whole country. Moderate drought events have started to occur with a frequency of 3 to 5 years since 1999. The decadal annual rainfall values in each river basin indicate that rainfall has decreased in the last two decades with a significant decline in 1999-2008. The trends of increase in temperature and decrease in precipitation are indications of rapid climate change in the country, especially in the south, west, and southwest regions. Due to the intensity and frequency of the droughts, river flow rates have decreased; and therefore, there is a need for the upstream and downstream neighboring countries to come to terms with the phenomenon of a new normal in the hydrological cycle and accordingly revise new water sharing treaties.
  • Conference Object
    Preventing Urban Floods by Optimized Modeling: a Comparative Evaluation of Alternatives in İzmir (türkiye)
    (Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2023) Arslan, Bertan; Salata, Stefano
    It is widely acknowledged that coastal cities will be heavily threatened by climate change globally. Among these cities, the Mediterranean suffers from a coupled dynamic of sea level rise and pluvial flooding due to their landform and soil characteristics. In this situation, analyzing the morphological and hydrological characteristics to define vulnerable areas is a prerequisite to designing performance-based solutions. But how does the flood vulnerability change with the different configurations of pervious and impervious surfaces? How do soil and landform characteristics affect flood vulnerability? This study assumes the possibility of re-naturing the coastal neighborhood of Karsiyaka, Izmir (Türkiye) while using fifteen alternative scenarios. We modeled the Urban Flood Risk Mitigation using InVEST (Natural Capital Project) and integrated the results with an analysis of the flow accumulation. According to our results, when the de-sealing process occurs in soils with low hydraulic conductibility, the results in terms of run-off containment can be dramatically limited or non-perceptible. The findings demonstrate that modeling with scenarios can guide the decision-makers while understanding exactly where the de-permeabilization can achieve its maximum efficiency. Therefore, performance-based solutions designed to increase water infiltration should carefully consider ex-ante empirical modeling to prevent urban flooding. © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.