Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / Scopus Indexed Publications Collection
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/11147/7148
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Article Citation - WoS: 3Citation - Scopus: 2Assessing the Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Meteorological Drought in Afghanistan(Birkhauser, 2025) Tayfur, G.; Hayat, E.; Safari, M.J.S.Afghanistan is suffering from periodic events of drought, which has exacerbated in recent years due to extreme climate events in the region. Having an arid to semi-arid climate, the country faces significant challenges of water resources management, especially for irrigation as reliance on agriculture is cumbersome. This study is undertaken to characterize historical meteorological drought in Afghanistan to provide an insight on where and when meteorological drought events happened in different River Basins (RBs). The study mainly employs the gamma-Standardized Precipitation Index (gamma-SPI) to analyze historical meteorological droughts across Afghanistan from 1979 to 2019. Monthly precipitation data is obtained from the Ministry of Energy and Water (MEW) of Afghanistan, which is a combination of observed data from ground stations and gap-filled data by the MEW for the study period. Gridded gamma-SPI values are interpolated and mapped to visualize patterns of spatial drought across the entire country. The results indicate that countrywide extreme drought events occurred in 1999, 2000, 2001, 2010, 2016, 2017, and 2019, particularly affecting southern, western, and southwestern regions. Decreasing rainfall occurred in all five RBs, with the most considerable decline observed in the 1999–2008 period. The study reveals the increasing frequency and severity of meteorological droughts in Afghanistan. It also emphasizes on the vulnerability of agriculture and water sectors due to the drought events. The findings of the study suggest the need for better drought monitoring, preparedness, awareness, and adaptation of strategies to ensure water security and agricultural sustainability in the face of climate change. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2024.Article Citation - WoS: 1Citation - Scopus: 1Identification of Flood Hazard Zones in Afghanistan Using Gis and Multi-Criteria Decision Approach(Inderscience Publishers, 2024) Tani, H.; Tayfur, G.This study assessed Afghanistan’s potential flood hazard zones using the geographic information systems (GIS) and the analytical hierarchy process (AHP). Six different thematic layers were selected, and the AHP was applied to estimate the influence weights of each parameter. The final flood hazard zones map (FHZM) was reclassified into five zones. Sensitivity analysis was employed to create the flood hazard sensitivity map (FHSM) based on ‘effective weights’. It was found that the land use land cover (LULC) and rainfall are less sensitive compared to the other parameters. The FHZM and FHSM comparatively indicate the same regions regarding flood hazard levels. The methodology was tested against the recorded flood events in the region. The results showed that about 44% of the study area is under low and very low flood hazards, whereas 56% is subjected to high and very high. Low-lying areas are highly prone to flooding. Copyright © 2024 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.Article Citation - WoS: 16Citation - Scopus: 19Comparative Analysis of Estimation of Slope-Length Gradient (ls) Factor for Entire Afghanistan(Taylor & Francis, 2023) Ansari, Ahmad; Tayfur, GökmenSlope length gradient (LS) is one of the crucial factors in the Universal Soil Loss Equations (USLE, RUSLE). This study aimed at estimating the slope-length and slope-steepness (LS) factor for the entire watersheds of Afghanistan by using three different methods, namely; (1) LS-TOOLMFD (Method 1); (2) The Method of Equations (Method 2); and (3) The approach of Moore and Burch (Method 3). The first method uses the digital elevation model (DEM) in the ASCII format, and the other two methods use the DEM in the spatial domain. The results show that the LS-factor of the study area ranges from 0.01 to 44.31, with a mean of 5.24 and standard deviation of 6.95, according to Method 1; 0.03 to 163.49, with a mean of 9.6 and standard deviation of 13.58, according to Method 2; and 0 to 3985, with a mean of 7.16 and standard deviation of 29.7, according to Method 3. The study reveals that Methods 1 and 2 are more appropriate than Method 3 because Method 3 yields high LS-factor values close to or at streamlines located near mountainous regions. The highest LS values are found to be in the northeast, north, and central regions of Afghanistan, which is consistent with the high mountains and deep valley geomorphology, indicating that these regions are particularly vulnerable to soil erosion by rainfall-runoff processes. The sediment delivery ratio (SDR) for the Upper-Helmand River Basin (Upper-HRB) is also estimated by the RUSLE, employing the LS factors produced by the three methods. The results revealed that the average annual soil loss is found to be, respectively, 9.3, 18.2, and 11.1 (ton/ha/year) by using the three methods, corresponding to SDR of 23.5%, 12.1%, and 19.9%.
