Civil Engineering / İnşaat Mühendisliği

Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/11147/13

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  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 1
    Citation - Scopus: 1
    Generalized Regression Neural Network and Empirical Models To Predict the Strength of Gypsum Pastes Containing Fly Ash and Blast Furnace Slag
    (Springer Verlag, 2020) Erdem, Tahir Kemal; Cengiz, Okan; Tayfur, Gökmen
    Gypsum is widely used in constructions owing to its easy application, zero shrinkage, and excellent fire resistance. Several parameters can affect the properties of gypsum pastes. To study the strength of the gypsum pastes experimentally by trying all these parameters is time-consuming and costly. Therefore, artificial intelligence methods can be very useful to predict the paste strength, which, in turn, can reduce the number of trial batches. Based on experimental data, the generalized regression neural network (GRNN) and empirical models were developed to predict strength of gypsum pastes containing fly ash (FA) and blast furnace slag (BFS). Gypsum content, pozzolan content, curing temperature, curing duration, and testing age constituted the input variables of the models while the paste strength was the target output. The trained and tested GRNN model was found to be successful in predicting strength. Sensitivity analysis by the GRNN model revealed that the curing duration and temperature were important sensitive parameters. In addition to the GRNN model, empirical models were proposed for the strength prediction. The same input variables formed the input vectors of the empirical models. The same dataset used for the calibration of the GRNN model was employed to establish the empirical models by employing genetic algorithm (GA) method. The empirical models were successfully validated. The GRNN and GA_based empirical models were also tested against the multi-linear regression (MLR) and multi-nonlinear regression (MNLR) models. The results showed the outperformance of the GRNN and the GA_based empirical models over the others.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 35
    Citation - Scopus: 36
    Coupling Soil Moisture and Precipitation Observations for Predicting Hourly Runoff at Small Catchment Scale
    (Elsevier Ltd., 2014) Tayfur, Gökmen; Zucco, Graziano; Brocca, Luca; Moramarco, Tommaso
    The importance of soil moisture is recognized in rainfall-runoff processes. This study quantitatively investigates the use of soil moisture measured at 10, 20, and 40cm soil depths along with rainfall in predicting runoff. For this purpose, two small sub-catchments of Tiber River Basin, in Italy, were instrumented during periods of October 2002-March 2003 and January-April 2004. Colorso Basin is about 13km2 and Niccone basin 137km2. Rainfall plus soil moisture at 10, 20, and 40cm formed the input vector while the discharge was the target output in the model of generalized regression neural network (GRNN). The model for each basin was calibrated and tested using October 2002-March 2003 data. The calibrated and tested GRNN was then employed to predict runoff for each basin for the period of January-April 2004. The model performance was found to be satisfactory with determination coefficient, R2, equal to 0.87 and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, NS, equal to 0.86 in the validation phase for both catchments. The investigation of effects of soil moisture on runoff prediction revealed that the addition of soil moisture data, along with rainfall, tremendously improves the performance of the model. The sensitivity analysis indicated that the use of soil moisture data at different depths allows to preserve the memory of the system thus having a similar effect of employing the past values of rainfall, but with improved GRNN performance.