Civil Engineering / İnşaat Mühendisliği
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/11147/13
Browse
5 results
Search Results
Now showing 1 - 5 of 5
Article Citation - WoS: 72Citation - Scopus: 79Artificial Neural Networks for Estimating Daily Total Suspended Sediment in Natural Streams(IWA Publishing, 2006) Tayfur, Gökmen; Güldal, VeyselEstimates of sediment loads in natural streams are required for a wide spectrum of water resources engineering problems from optimal reservoir design to water quality in lakes. Suspended sediment constitutes 75-95% of the total load. The nonlinear problem of suspended sediment estimation requires a nonlinear model. An artificial neural network (ANN) model has been developed to predict daily total suspended sediment (TSS) in rivers. The model is constructed as a three-layer feedforward network using the back-propagation algorithm as a training tool. The model predicts TSS rates using precipitation (P) data as input. For network training and testing 240 sets of data sets were used. The model successfully predicted daily TSS loads using the present and past 4 days precipitation data in the input vector with R2 = 0.91 and MAE = 34.22 mg/L. The performance of the model was also tested against the most recently developed non-linear black box model based upon two-dimensional unit sediment graph theory (2D-USGT). The comparison of results revealed that the ANN has a significantly better performance than the 2D-USGT. Investigation results revealed that the ANN model requires a period of more than 75 d of measured P-TSS data for training the model for satisfactory TSS estimation. The statistical parameter range (xmin - xmax) plays a major role for optimal partitioning of data into training and testing sets. Both sets should have comparable values for the range parameter.Article Citation - WoS: 17Citation - Scopus: 21The Use of Neural Networks for the Prediction of Cone Penetration Resistance of Silty Sands(Springer Verlag, 2017) Erzin, Yusuf; Ecemiş, NurhanIn this study, an artificial neural network (ANN) model was developed to predict the cone penetration resistance of silty sands. To achieve this, the data sets reported by Ecemis and Karaman, including the results of three high-quality field tests, namely piezocone penetration test, pore pressure dissipation tests, and direct push permeability tests performed at 20 different locations on the northern coast of the Izmir Gulf in Turkey, have been used in the development of the ANN model. The ANN model consisted of three input parameters (relative density, fines content, and horizontal coefficient of consolidation) and a single output parameter (normalized cone penetration resistance). The results obtained from the ANN model were compared with those obtained from the field tests. It is found that the ANN model is efficient in determining the cone penetration resistance of silty sands and yields cone penetration resistance values that are very close to those obtained from the field tests. Additionally, several performance indices such as the determination coefficient, variance account for, mean absolute error, root mean square error, and scaled percent error were computed to examine the performance of the ANN model developed. The performance level attained in the ANN model shows that the ANN model developed in this study can be employed for predicting cone penetration of silty sands quite efficiently.Article Citation - WoS: 29Citation - Scopus: 34Prediction of Suspended Sediment Concentration From Water Quality Variables(Springer Verlag, 2014) Bayram, Adem; Kankal, Murat; Tayfur, Gökmen; Önsoy, HızırThis study investigates use of water quality (WQ) variables, namely total chromium concentration, total iron concentration, and turbidity for predicting suspended sediment concentration (SSC). For this purpose, the artificial neural networks (ANNs) and regression analysis (RA) models are employed. Seven different RA models are constructed, considering the functional relation between measured WQ variables and SSC. The WQ and SSC data are fortnightly obtained from six monitoring stations, located on the stream Harsit, Eastern Black Sea Basin, Turkey. A total of 132 water samples are collected from April 2009 to February 2010. Model prediction results reveal that ANN is able to predict SSC from WQ data, with mean absolute error (MAE) of 10.30 mg/L and root mean square error (RMSE) of 13.06 mg/L. Among seven RA models, the best one, which has the form including all independent parameters, produces results comparable to those of ANN, with MAE = 14.28 mg/L and RMSE = 15.35 mg/L. The sensitivity analysis results reveal that the most effective parameter on the SSC is total chromium concentration. These results have time- and cost-saving implications.Article Citation - WoS: 46Citation - Scopus: 49Predicting and Forecasting Flow Discharge at Sites Receiving Significant Lateral Inflow(John Wiley and Sons Inc., 2007) Tayfur, Gökmen; Moramarco, Tommaso; Singh, Vijay P.Two models, one linear and one non-linear, were employed for the prediction of flow discharge hydrographs at sites receiving significant lateral inflow. The linear model is based on a rating curve and permits a quick estimation of flow at a downstream site. The non-linear model is based on a multilayer feed-forward back propagation (FFBP) artificial neural network (ANN) and uses flow-stage data measured at the upstream and downstream stations. ANN predicted the real-time storm hydrographs satisfactorily and better than did the linear model. The results of sensitivity analysis indicated that when the lateral inflow contribution to the channel reach was insignificant, ANN, using only the flow-stage data at the upstream station, satisfactorily predicted the hydrograph at the downstream station. The prediction error of ANN increases exponentially with the difference between the peak discharge used in training and that used in testing. ANN was also employed for flood forecasting and was compared with the modified Muskingum model (MMM). For a 4-h lead time, MMM forecasts the floods reliably but could not be applied to reaches for lead times greater than the wave travel time. Although ANN and MMM had comparable performances for an 8-h lead time, ANN is capable of forecasting floods with lead times longer than the wave travel time.Article Citation - WoS: 150Citation - Scopus: 171Artificial Neural Networks for Sheet Sediment Transport(Taylor and Francis Ltd., 2002) Tayfur, GökmenSheet sediment transport was modelled by artificial neural networks (ANNs). A three-layer feed-forward artificial neural network structure was constructed and a back-propagation algorithm was used for the training of ANNs. Event-based, runoff-driven experimental sediment data were used for the training and testing of the ANNs. In training, data on slope and rainfall intensity were fed into the network as inputs and data on sediment discharge were used as target outputs. The performance of the ANNs was tested against that of the most commonly used physically-based models, whose transport capacity was based on one of the dominant variables-flow velocity (V), shear stress (SS), stream power (SP), and unit stream power (USP). The comparison results revealed that the ANNs performed as well as the physically-based models for simulating nonsteady-state sediment loads from different slopes. The performances of the ANNs and the physically-based models were also quantitatively investigated to estimate mean sediment discharges from experimental runs. The investigation results indicated that better estimations were obtained for V over mild and steep slopes, under low rainfall intensity; for USP over mild and steep slopes, under high rainfall intensity; for SP and SS over very steep slopes, under high rainfall intensity; and for ANNs over steep and very steep slopes, under very high rainfall intensities.
