WoS İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / WoS Indexed Publications Collection
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/11147/7150
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Article Ensemble Machine Learning Algorithms for Thermal Comfort Prediction in HVAC Systems of Smart Buildings(Golden Light Publishing, 2025) Erdem, Merve Kuru; Gokalp, Osman; Calis, GulbenPredicting the thermal comfort of building occupants is of paramount importance in the operation of smart buildings, providing a data-driven approach to control Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems for managing occupant thermal comfort and energy use, which aligns with modern sustainability and efficiency goals. Recently, ensemble machine learning (ML)-based thermal comfort prediction models have been proposed to provide more accurate estimation of thermal comfort; however, these efforts often lack a systematic and comprehensive evaluation across a wide range of ML models within a single study. To address this gap, this study presents a systematic comparative analysis of four ensemble ML frameworks (bagging, boosting, stacking, and voting) with six basic ML algorithms (Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector Machine, Decision Tree, Multilayer Perceptron, and Multinomial Na & iuml;ve Bayes) and six advanced ensemble ML algorithms (Random Forest, Rotation Forest, Extra Trees, Gradient Boosting Classifier, Histogram Gradient Boosting Classifier, and Extreme Gradient Boosting). The analysis is conducted using the widely recognized ASHRAE Global Thermal Comfort Database II, providing both 3-point and 7-point Thermal Sensation Vote (TSV) predictions. Accuracy, precision, recall and F1 metrics are used for evaluation and 10-fold cross validation is applied for further comparison. The results demonstrate the Histogram Gradient Boosting (HGB) algorithm achieved the highest F1 score (0.638) for 7-point TSV prediction whereas the Random Forest (RF) algorithm provided the highest F1 score (0.549) for 7-point TSV prediction. In practice, these findings suggest that integrating RF and HGB models into Building Management Systems or IoT-based HVAC platforms can support real-time adaptive control, helping practitioners to reduce energy use while maintaining occupant comfort.Article Development and Validation of Regression Model via Machine Learning to Estimate Thermal Conductivity and Heat Flow Using Igneous Rocks from the Dikili-Bergama Geothermal Region, Western Anatolia(Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd, 2026) Ayzit, Tolga; Sahin, Onur Gungor; Erol, Selcuk; Baba, AlperThermal conductivity is a fundamental parameter that significantly influences the thermal regime of the lithosphere. It plays a crucial role in a variety of geological applications, including geothermal energy exploration, igneous system assessment, and tectonic modeling. In this study, a machine learning approach is used to predict the thermal conductivity of igneous rocks based on the composition of major oxides. A total of 488 samples from different regions of the world were analyzed. The thermal conductivity values ranged from 1.20 to 3.74 Wm(-1) K-1 and the mean value was 2.61 Wm(-1) K-1. The Random Forest (RF) algorithm was used, resulting in a high coefficient of determination (R-2 = 0.913 for training and R-2 = 0.794 for testing) and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.112 and 0.179, respectively. Significance analysis of the traits identified SiO2 (>40 %), Na2O (>15 %) and Al2O3 (>10 %) as the most influential predictors. The study presented results from the Western Anatolia region, where felsic rocks had the highest thermal conductivity (mean = 2.69 Wm(-)(1)K(-)(1)) compared to mafic (mean = 2.34 Wm(-)(1)K(-)(1)) and ultramafic rocks (mean = 2.39 Wm(-)(1)K(-)(1)). In addition, the study evaluated the predictive capabilities of machine learning models for the igneous rocks of the Dikili-Bergama region and compared the results with those of saturated models. Using these data, we calculated heat flow values of up to 400 mWm(-2) under saturated conditions in western Anatolia. These results highlight the value of integrating geochemical data with machine learning to improve geothermal resource exploration and lithospheric modeling.