WoS İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / WoS Indexed Publications Collection
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/11147/7150
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Article Ensemble Machine Learning Algorithms for Thermal Comfort Prediction in HVAC Systems of Smart Buildings(Golden Light Publishing, 2025) Erdem, Merve Kuru; Gokalp, Osman; Calis, GulbenPredicting the thermal comfort of building occupants is of paramount importance in the operation of smart buildings, providing a data-driven approach to control Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems for managing occupant thermal comfort and energy use, which aligns with modern sustainability and efficiency goals. Recently, ensemble machine learning (ML)-based thermal comfort prediction models have been proposed to provide more accurate estimation of thermal comfort; however, these efforts often lack a systematic and comprehensive evaluation across a wide range of ML models within a single study. To address this gap, this study presents a systematic comparative analysis of four ensemble ML frameworks (bagging, boosting, stacking, and voting) with six basic ML algorithms (Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector Machine, Decision Tree, Multilayer Perceptron, and Multinomial Na & iuml;ve Bayes) and six advanced ensemble ML algorithms (Random Forest, Rotation Forest, Extra Trees, Gradient Boosting Classifier, Histogram Gradient Boosting Classifier, and Extreme Gradient Boosting). The analysis is conducted using the widely recognized ASHRAE Global Thermal Comfort Database II, providing both 3-point and 7-point Thermal Sensation Vote (TSV) predictions. Accuracy, precision, recall and F1 metrics are used for evaluation and 10-fold cross validation is applied for further comparison. The results demonstrate the Histogram Gradient Boosting (HGB) algorithm achieved the highest F1 score (0.638) for 7-point TSV prediction whereas the Random Forest (RF) algorithm provided the highest F1 score (0.549) for 7-point TSV prediction. In practice, these findings suggest that integrating RF and HGB models into Building Management Systems or IoT-based HVAC platforms can support real-time adaptive control, helping practitioners to reduce energy use while maintaining occupant comfort.Article Development and Validation of Regression Model via Machine Learning to Estimate Thermal Conductivity and Heat Flow Using Igneous Rocks from the Dikili-Bergama Geothermal Region, Western Anatolia(Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd, 2026) Ayzit, Tolga; Sahin, Onur Gungor; Erol, Selcuk; Baba, AlperThermal conductivity is a fundamental parameter that significantly influences the thermal regime of the lithosphere. It plays a crucial role in a variety of geological applications, including geothermal energy exploration, igneous system assessment, and tectonic modeling. In this study, a machine learning approach is used to predict the thermal conductivity of igneous rocks based on the composition of major oxides. A total of 488 samples from different regions of the world were analyzed. The thermal conductivity values ranged from 1.20 to 3.74 Wm(-1) K-1 and the mean value was 2.61 Wm(-1) K-1. The Random Forest (RF) algorithm was used, resulting in a high coefficient of determination (R-2 = 0.913 for training and R-2 = 0.794 for testing) and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.112 and 0.179, respectively. Significance analysis of the traits identified SiO2 (>40 %), Na2O (>15 %) and Al2O3 (>10 %) as the most influential predictors. The study presented results from the Western Anatolia region, where felsic rocks had the highest thermal conductivity (mean = 2.69 Wm(-)(1)K(-)(1)) compared to mafic (mean = 2.34 Wm(-)(1)K(-)(1)) and ultramafic rocks (mean = 2.39 Wm(-)(1)K(-)(1)). In addition, the study evaluated the predictive capabilities of machine learning models for the igneous rocks of the Dikili-Bergama region and compared the results with those of saturated models. Using these data, we calculated heat flow values of up to 400 mWm(-2) under saturated conditions in western Anatolia. These results highlight the value of integrating geochemical data with machine learning to improve geothermal resource exploration and lithospheric modeling.Article Citation - WoS: 6Citation - Scopus: 6A Novel Land Surface Temperature Reconstruction Method and Its Application for Downscaling Surface Soil Moisture With Machine Learning(Elsevier, 2024) Güngör, Şahin; Gündüz, OrhanDownscaling of soil moisture data is important for high resolution hydrological modeling. Most downscaling studies in the literature have used spatially discontinuous land surface temperature (LST) maps as the main auxiliary parameter, which limits the creation of continuous soil moisture maps. The number of studies on soil moisture downscaling with machine learning that use gapless LST maps is limited. With this motivation, a hybrid reconstruction method has been proposed in this study to practically obtain continuous LST maps, which are then used to produce high resolution surface soil moisture (SSM) datasets. The proposed method is shown to have high mean performance with R2 and RMSE values of 0.94 and 1.84°K, respectively, for the period between 2019 and 2022. The developed reconstructed LST maps were then used to downscale original 9 km spatial resolution soil moisture datasets of SMAP L3 and SMAP L4 with Random Forest (RF) machine learning algorithm. The RF model were run with four different rainfall datasets, and the MSWEP rainfall dataset was found to produce the best results. The use of antecedent rainfall values as input variables in machine learning models has been shown to improve the performance of the models R2 0.76 to 0.93. The accuracy of the downscaled data was later evaluated for Western Anatolia Basins (WAB) in Türkiye with 31 in-situ stations. The downscaled SMAP L4 had good average statistical indicators R (0.815 ± 0.1), RMSE (0.09 ± 0.047 cm3/cm3), and ubRMSE (0.058 ± 0.025 cm3/cm3). Downscaled SMAP L3 was also validated with in-situ observations with satisfactory R (0.79 ± 0.074), RMSE (0.09 ± 0.043 cm3/cm3), and ubRMSE (0.06 ± 0.026 cm3/cm3) statistics. Furthermore, the performance of the downscaled SMAP L3 was also cross validated with SMAP + Sentinel 1 (L2) dataset between 2019 and 2022. The mean statistics of R (0.761 ± 0.11) and Root Mean Squared Difference (RMSD) (0.05 ± 0.014 cm3/cm3) between downscaled SMAP L3 and L2 data revealed that the new reconstruction method of LST used in the RF model for downscaling of soil moisture performed well to obtain high resolution soil moisture datasets. The proposed technique also overcame the difficulties associated with coastal regions where data was masked for quality considerations, by not only enhancing overall spatial resolution but also filling these data gaps and giving a complete SSM coverage. © 2024 Elsevier B.V.