Sürdürülebilir Yeşil Kampüs Koleksiyonu / Sustainable Green Campus Collection
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/11147/7755
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Master Thesis Artificial Neural Networks and Fuzzy Logic Applications in Modeling the Compressive Strength of Portland Cement(Izmir Institute of Technology, 2004) Can, Sever; Akkurt, SedatPortland cement production is a complex process that involves the effect of several processing parameters on the quality control of 28-day cement compressive strength (CCS). There are some chemical parameters like the C3S, C2S, C3A, C4AF, and SO3 contents in addition to the physical parameters like Blaine (surface area) and particle size distribution. These factors are all effective in producing a single quantity of 28-day CCS. The long duration of 28 day CCS test provided the motivation for research on predictive models. The purpose for these studies was to be able to predict the strength instead of waiting for 28 days for the test to be complete. In this thesis, artificial intelligence (AI) methods like artificial neural networks (ANNs) and fuzzy logic were used in the modeling of the 28-day CCS. The two models were compared for their quality of fit and for the ease of application.Quality control data from a local cement plant were used in the modeling studies. The data were separated randomly into two parts: the first one contained 100 data points to be used in training and the second part had 50 data points to be used in testing stages of the models. In this study, four different AI models were created and tested (3 ANN, 1 fuzzy logic). One of the ANN models (Model A) had 20 input parameters in 20x20x1 architecture with testing average absolute percentage error (AAPE) of 2.24%. The other ANN model (Model B) had four input parameters (SO3, C3S, Blaine and total alkali amount) in 4x4x1 architecture with AAPE of 2.41%. Both of the Model A and the Model B were created in the MatLAB® environment by writinga custom computer code. The last ANN model (Model C) actually refers to 72 differentANN models created in the MatLAB® neural networks toolbox. In order to obtain a model with the lowest error, different learning algorithms, training functions and architectures in combinations were tested. The lowest AAPE among these models appeared to be 2.31%. The fuzzy logic model (Model D) which had four input parameters (SO3, C3S, Blaine and total alkali amount) was created in the MatLAB fuzzy logic toolbox. In order to write the fuzzy rules, the sensitivity analysis of the Model B was utilized. The AAPE of the Model D was 2.69%. The model was compared with the ANN models for its error levels and ease of application. The results indicated that through the application of fuzzy logic algorithm, a more user friendly andmore explicit model than the ANNs could be produced within successfully low error margins.Doctoral Thesis Traffic Accident Predictions Based on Fuzzy Logic Approach for Safer Urban Environments, Case Study: Izmir Metropolitan Area(Izmir Institute of Technology, 2009) Selvi, Ömer; Duvarcı, YavuzDissertation has dealt with one of the most chaotic events of an urban life that is the traffic accidents. This study is a preliminary and an explorative effort to establish an Accident Prediction Model (APM) for road safety in İzmir urban environment. Aim of the dissertation is to prevent or decrease the amount of possible future traffic accidents in İzmir metropolitan region, by the help of the developed APM. Urban traffic accidents have spatial and other external reasons independent from the vehicles or drivers, and these reasons can be predicted by mathematical models. The study deals with the factors of the traffic accidents, which are not based on the human behavior or vehicle characteristics. Therefore the prediction model is established through the following external factors, such as traffic volume, rain status and the geometry of the roads. Fuzzy Logic Modeling (FLM) is applied as a prediction tool in the study. Familiarizing fuzzy logic approach to the planning discipline is the secondary aim of the thesis and contribution to the literature. The conformity of fuzzy logic enables modeling through verbal data and intuitive approach, which is important to achieve uncertainties of planning issues.
