Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / Scopus Indexed Publications Collection
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/11147/7148
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Article Citation - WoS: 72Citation - Scopus: 79Artificial Neural Networks for Estimating Daily Total Suspended Sediment in Natural Streams(IWA Publishing, 2006) Tayfur, Gökmen; Güldal, VeyselEstimates of sediment loads in natural streams are required for a wide spectrum of water resources engineering problems from optimal reservoir design to water quality in lakes. Suspended sediment constitutes 75-95% of the total load. The nonlinear problem of suspended sediment estimation requires a nonlinear model. An artificial neural network (ANN) model has been developed to predict daily total suspended sediment (TSS) in rivers. The model is constructed as a three-layer feedforward network using the back-propagation algorithm as a training tool. The model predicts TSS rates using precipitation (P) data as input. For network training and testing 240 sets of data sets were used. The model successfully predicted daily TSS loads using the present and past 4 days precipitation data in the input vector with R2 = 0.91 and MAE = 34.22 mg/L. The performance of the model was also tested against the most recently developed non-linear black box model based upon two-dimensional unit sediment graph theory (2D-USGT). The comparison of results revealed that the ANN has a significantly better performance than the 2D-USGT. Investigation results revealed that the ANN model requires a period of more than 75 d of measured P-TSS data for training the model for satisfactory TSS estimation. The statistical parameter range (xmin - xmax) plays a major role for optimal partitioning of data into training and testing sets. Both sets should have comparable values for the range parameter.Article Citation - WoS: 1Citation - Scopus: 1Estimation of Mechanical Properties of Limestone Using Regression Analyses and Ann(Foundation Cement, Lime, Concrete, 2012) Teomete, Egemen; Tayfur, Gökmen; Aktaş, EnginEstimation of mechanical properties of rocks is important for researchers and field engineers working in cement and concrete industry. Limestone is used in cement production. In this study, Schmidt hammer, ultrasonic pulse velocity, porosity, uniaxial compression and indirect tension tests were conducted on limestone obtained from a historical structure. Regression analyses were used to develop models relating mechanical properties of limestone. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) was performed to determine the mechanical properties. The performance of regression models and ANN were compared by existing models in the literature. The results showed that the regression models and ANN yield satisfactory performance with minimum error. The regression models between tensile strength and wave velocity, tensile strength and porosity, wave velocity and porosity have been developed for the first time in literature. The ANN is used for the first time to estimate the mechanical properties of limestone. The use of separate training and testing sets in the regression analyses of mechanical properties of limestone is conducted for the first time. The models developed in this study can be used by researchers and field engineers to relate the mechanical properties of limestone.Article Citation - WoS: 2Citation - Scopus: 2Soft Computing and Regression Modelling Approaches for Link-Capacity Functions(Czech Technical University in Prague, 2016) Koşun, Çağlar; Tayfur, Gökmen; Çelik, Hüseyin MuratLink-capacity functions are the relationships between the fundamental traffic variables like travel time and the flow rate. These relationships are important inputs to the capacity-restrained traffic assignment models. This study investigates the prediction of travel time as a function of several variables V/C (flow rate/capacity), retail activity, parking, number of bus stops and link type. For this purpose, the necessary data collected in Izmir, Turkey are employed by Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) and Regression-based models of multiple linear regression (MLR) and multiple non-linear regression (MNLR). In ANNs modelling, 70% of the whole dataset is randomly selected for the training, whereas the rest is utilized in testing the model. Similarly, the same training dataset is employed in obtaining the optimal values of the coefficients of the regression-based models. Although all of the variables are used in the input vector of the models to predict the travel time, the most significant independent variables are found to be V/C and retail activity. By considering these two significant input variables, ANNs predicted the travel time with the correlation coefficient R = 0:87 while this value was almost 0.60 for the regression-based models.Article Citation - WoS: 29Citation - Scopus: 34Prediction of Suspended Sediment Concentration From Water Quality Variables(Springer Verlag, 2014) Bayram, Adem; Kankal, Murat; Tayfur, Gökmen; Önsoy, HızırThis study investigates use of water quality (WQ) variables, namely total chromium concentration, total iron concentration, and turbidity for predicting suspended sediment concentration (SSC). For this purpose, the artificial neural networks (ANNs) and regression analysis (RA) models are employed. Seven different RA models are constructed, considering the functional relation between measured WQ variables and SSC. The WQ and SSC data are fortnightly obtained from six monitoring stations, located on the stream Harsit, Eastern Black Sea Basin, Turkey. A total of 132 water samples are collected from April 2009 to February 2010. Model prediction results reveal that ANN is able to predict SSC from WQ data, with mean absolute error (MAE) of 10.30 mg/L and root mean square error (RMSE) of 13.06 mg/L. Among seven RA models, the best one, which has the form including all independent parameters, produces results comparable to those of ANN, with MAE = 14.28 mg/L and RMSE = 15.35 mg/L. The sensitivity analysis results reveal that the most effective parameter on the SSC is total chromium concentration. These results have time- and cost-saving implications.Article Citation - WoS: 11Citation - Scopus: 12Passenger Flows Estimation of Light Rail Transit (lrt) System in Izmir, Turkey Using Multiple Regression and Ann Methods(Faculty of Transport and Traffic Sciences, University of Zagreb, 2012) Özuysal, Mustafa; Tayfur, Gökmen; Tanyel, SerhanPassenger flow estimation of transit systems is essential for new decisions about additional facilities and feeder lines. For increasing the efficiency of an existing transit line, stations which are insufficient for trip production and attraction should be examined first. Such investigation supports decisions for feeder line projects which may seem necessary or futile according to the findings. In this study, passenger flow of a light rail transit (LRT) system in Izmir, Turkey is estimated by using multiple regression and feed-forward back-propagation type of artificial neural networks (ANN). The number of alighting passengers at each station is estimated as a function of boarding passengers from other stations. It is found that ANN approach produced significantly better estimations specifically for the low passenger attractive stations. In addition, ANN is found to be more capable for the determination of trip-attractive parts of LRT lines.Article Citation - WoS: 46Citation - Scopus: 49Predicting and Forecasting Flow Discharge at Sites Receiving Significant Lateral Inflow(John Wiley and Sons Inc., 2007) Tayfur, Gökmen; Moramarco, Tommaso; Singh, Vijay P.Two models, one linear and one non-linear, were employed for the prediction of flow discharge hydrographs at sites receiving significant lateral inflow. The linear model is based on a rating curve and permits a quick estimation of flow at a downstream site. The non-linear model is based on a multilayer feed-forward back propagation (FFBP) artificial neural network (ANN) and uses flow-stage data measured at the upstream and downstream stations. ANN predicted the real-time storm hydrographs satisfactorily and better than did the linear model. The results of sensitivity analysis indicated that when the lateral inflow contribution to the channel reach was insignificant, ANN, using only the flow-stage data at the upstream station, satisfactorily predicted the hydrograph at the downstream station. The prediction error of ANN increases exponentially with the difference between the peak discharge used in training and that used in testing. ANN was also employed for flood forecasting and was compared with the modified Muskingum model (MMM). For a 4-h lead time, MMM forecasts the floods reliably but could not be applied to reaches for lead times greater than the wave travel time. Although ANN and MMM had comparable performances for an 8-h lead time, ANN is capable of forecasting floods with lead times longer than the wave travel time.Article Citation - WoS: 175Citation - Scopus: 203Fuzzy Logic Model for the Prediction of Cement Compressive Strength(Elsevier Ltd., 2004) Akkurt, Sedat; Tayfur, Gökmen; Can, SeverA fuzzy logic prediction model for the 28-day compressive strength of cement mortar under standard curing conditions was created. Data collected from a cement plant were used in the model construction and testing. The input variables of alkali, Blaine, SO3, and C3S and the output variable of 28-day cement strength were fuzzified by the use of artificial neural networks (ANNs), and triangular membership functions were employed for the fuzzy subsets. The Mamdani fuzzy rules relating the input variables to the output variable were created by the ANN model and were laid out in the If-Then format. Product (prod) inference operator and the centre of gravity (COG; centroid) defuzzification methods were employed. The prediction of 50 sets of the 28-day cement strength data by the developed fuzzy model was quite satisfactory. The average percentage error levels in the fuzzy model were successfully low (2.69%). The model was compared with the ANN model for its error levels and ease of application. The results indicated that through the application of fuzzy logic algorithm, a more user friendly and more explicit model than the ANNs could be produced within successfully low error margins.Article Citation - WoS: 135Citation - Scopus: 157The Use of Ga-Anns in the Modelling of Compressive Strength of Cement Mortar(Elsevier Ltd., 2003) Akkurt, Sedat; Özdemir, Serhan; Tayfur, Gökmen; Akyol, BurakIn this paper, results of a project aimed at modelling the compressive strength of cement mortar under standard curing conditions are reported. Plant data were collected for 6 months for the chemical and physical properties of the cement that were used in model construction and testing. The training and testing data were separated from the complete original data set by the use of genetic algorithms (GAs). A GA-artificial neural network (ANN) model based on the training data of the cement strength was created. Testing of the model was also done within low average error levels (2.24%). The model was subjected to sensitivity analysis to predict the response of the system to different values of the factors affecting the strength. The plots obtained after sensitivity analysis indicated that increasing the amount of C3S, SO3 and surface area led to increased strength within the limits of the model. C2S decreased the strength whereas C3A decreased or increased the strength depending on the SO3 level. Because of the limited data range used for training, the prediction results were good only within the same range. The utility of the model is in the potential ability to control processing parameters to yield the desired strength levels and in providing information regarding the most favourable experimental conditions to obtain maximum compressive strength.Article Citation - WoS: 11Citation - Scopus: 13Experimental and Artificial Neural Network Modeling Study on Soot Formation in Premixed Hydrocarbon Flames(Elsevier Ltd., 2003) İnal, Fikret; Tayfur, Gökmen; Melton, Tyler R.; Senkan, Selim M.The formation of soot in premixed flames of methane, ethane, propane, and butane was studied at three different equivalence ratios. Soot particle sizes, number densities, and volume fractions were determined using classical light scattering measurement techniques. The experimental data revealed that the soot properties were sensitive to the fuel type and combustion parameter equivalence ratio. Increase in equivalence ratio increased the amount of soot formed for each fuel. In addition, methane flames showed larger particle diameters at higher distances above the burner surface and propane, ethane, and butane flames came after the methane flames, respectively. Three-layer, feed-forward type artificial neural networks having seven input neurons, one output neuron, and five hidden neurons for soot particle diameter predictions and seven hidden neurons for volume fraction predictions were used to model the soot properties. The network could not be trained and tested with sufficient accuracy to predict the number density due to a large data range and greater uncertainty in determination of this parameter. The number of complete data set used in the model was 156. There was a good agreement between the experimental and predicted values, and neural networks performed better when predicting output parameters (i.e. soot particle diameters and volume fractions) within the limits of the training data.Article Citation - WoS: 68Citation - Scopus: 86Fuzzy Logic Algorithm for Runoff-Induced Sediment Transport From Bare Soil Surfaces(Elsevier Ltd., 2003) Tayfur, Gökmen; Özdemir, Serhan; Singh, Vijay P.Utilizing the rainfall intensity, and slope data, a fuzzy logic algorithm was developed to estimate sediment loads from bare soil surfaces. Considering slope and rainfall as input variables, the variables were fuzzified into fuzzy subsets. The fuzzy subsets of the variables were considered to have triangular membership functions. The relations among rainfall intensity, slope, and sediment transport were represented by a set of fuzzy rules. The fuzzy rules relating input variables to the output variable of sediment discharge were laid out in the IF-THEN format. The commonly used weighted average method was employed for the defuzzification procedure. The sediment load predicted by the fuzzy model was in satisfactory agreement with the measured sediment load data. Predicting the mean sediment loads from experimental runs, the performance of the fuzzy model was compared with that of the artificial neural networks (ANNs) and the physics-based models. The results of showed revealed that the fuzzy model performed better under very high rainfall intensities over different slopes and over very steep slopes under different rainfall intensities. This is closely related to the selection of the shape and frequency of the fuzzy membership functions in the fuzzy model.