Civil Engineering / İnşaat Mühendisliği
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/11147/13
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Article Citation - WoS: 4Citation - Scopus: 8Investigating a Suitable Empirical Model and Performing Regional Analysis for the Suspended Sediment Load Prediction in Major Rivers of the Aegean Region, Turkey(Springer Verlag, 2017) Ülke, Aslı; Tayfur, Gökmen; Özkul, SevinçThis study investigates the appropriateness of four major empirical methods [Lane and Kalinske, Einstein, Brooks, Chang—Simons—Richardson] for predicting suspended sediment loads (SSLs) in three major rivers in the Aegean Region, Turkey. The measured data from 1975 to 2005 were used to test performance of the models. It was found that Brooks method was more appropriate, among the others, for predicting suspended sediment loads from each river. The prediction results of Brooks method were further improved by the use of genetic algorithm (GA_Brooks) optimizing a fitting parameter and showing a comparable performance to those of artificial neural networks (ANNs) and neuro-fuzzy (ANFIS) models for the same rivers. GA_Brooks, ANNs, and ANFIS models can be used for predicting loads at a regional scale. The sensitivity analysis results revealed that suspended and bed material particle diameters affect suspended sediment loads significantly.Article Citation - WoS: 2Citation - Scopus: 2Ampirik Yöntemlerle Gediz Nehri için Askıda Katı Madde Yükü Tahmini(Turkish Chamber of Civil Engineers, 2011) Ülke, Aslı; Özkul, Sevinç; Tayfur, GökmenIt is essential to predict suspended sediment load for understanding river morphology, design of dams, water supply problems, management of reservoirs and determination of pollution levels in rivers. The suspended sediment load can be determined by means of several methods such as direct measurements at the sediment gauging stations, sediment rating curve, son modeling methods, and empirical methods which are based on experimental works. The objective of this study is first to determine the best empirical method for Gediz river and then to improve the determined method by genetic algorithm (GA). It is seen that the GA improved Brooks method can be used for Gediz River Basin. In addition, this method was compared with other soft computing (ANN, ANFIS) methods and its performance is found to be as good as them.Article Citation - WoS: 37Citation - Scopus: 49Predicting Suspended Sediment Loads and Missing Data for Gediz River, Turkey(American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), 2009) Ülke, Aslı; Tayfur, Gökmen; Özkul, SevinçPrediction of suspended sediment load (SSL) is important for water resources quantity and quality studies. The SSL of a stream is generally determined by direct measurement of the suspended sediment concentration or by employing sediment rating curve method. Although direct measurement is the most reliable method, it is very expensive, time consuming, and, in many instances, problematic for inaccessible sections, especially during floods. On the other hand, measuring precipitation and flow discharge is relatively easier and hence, there are more rain and flow gauging stations than SSL gauging stations in Turkey. Furthermore, due to its cost, measurements of SSL are carried out in longer periods compared to precipitation and flow measurements. Although daily precipitation and flow measurements are available for most of the Turkish river basins, at best semimonthly measurements are available for SSL. As such, it is essential to predict SSL from precipitation and flow data and to fill the gap for the missing data records. This study employed artificial intelligence methods of artificial neural networks (ANN) and neurofuzzy inference system, the sediment rating curve method, multilinear regression, and multinonlinear regression methods for this purpose. The comparative analysis of the results showed that the artificial intelligence methods have superiority over the other methods for predicting semimonthly suspended sediment loads. The ANN using conjugate gradient optimization method showed the best performance among the proposed models. It also satisfactorily generated daily SSL data for the missing period record of Gediz River, Turkey.