Civil Engineering / İnşaat Mühendisliği
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/11147/13
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Article Citation - WoS: 18Citation - Scopus: 22The Health Risk Associated With Chronic Diseases in Villages With High Arsenic Levels in Drinking Water Supplies(Springer Verlag, 2017) Gündüz, Orhan; Bakar, Coşkun; Şimşek, Celalettin; Baba, Alper; Elçi, Alper; Gürleyük, Hakan; Mutlu, Merdiye; Çakır, AyşeThis study is intended to compare and assess the distribution and possible causes of current chronic diseases in villages with high arsenic levels in drinking water supplies. It is a cross-sectional epidemiological research that analyzes the frequency and underlying risk factors of chronic diseases in villages with varying levels of arsenic exposure through drinking water. Sample space of study included 1003 individuals, 614 of whom were from villages with high arsenic levels in drinking water and remaining 389 were from two control villages with below-limit arsenic levels in drinking water. While nutritional habits and living environments of two groups were similar, cigarette smoking and alcohol use were higher in villages with low arsenic levels. Mini mental state examination test results in 60+ age group were lower in villages with high arsenic levels. Although no statistically significant differences were detected in chronic disease occurrence between the groups, the number of cases was higher in villages with higher percentage of cigarette smoking and alcohol use. Moreover, cases of lung, colon, and stomach cancers were higher in villages with high arsenic levels in drinking water supplies.Article Citation - WoS: 66Citation - Scopus: 75Modern Optimization Methods in Water Resources Planning, Engineering and Management(Springer Verlag, 2017) Tayfur, GökmenMathematical (analytical, numerical and optimization) models are employed in many disciplines including the water resources planning, engineering and management. These models can vary from a simple black-box model to a sophisticated distributed physics-based model. Recently, development and employment of modern optimization methods (MOMs) have become popular in the area of mathematical modeling. This paper overviews the MOMs based on the evolutionary search which were developed over mostly the last 30 years. These methods have wide application in practice from finance to engineering and this paper focuses mostly on the applications in the area of water resources planning, engineering and management. Although there are numerous optimization algorithms, the paper outlines the ones that have been widely employed especially in the last three decades; such as the Genetic Algorithm (GA), Ant Colony (AC), Differential Evolution (DE), Particle Swarm (PS), Harmony Search (HS), Genetic Programming (GP), and Gene Expression Programming (GEP). The paper briefly introduces theoretical background of each algorithm and its applications and discusses the merits and, if any, shortcomings. The wide spectrum of applications include, but not limited to, flood control and mitigation, reservoir operation, irrigation, flood routing, river training, flow velocity, rainfall-runoff processes, sediment transport, groundwater management, water quality, hydropower, dispersion, and aquifers.Article Citation - WoS: 45Citation - Scopus: 51Evaluation and Assessment of Meteorological Drought by Different Methods in Trarza Region, Mauritania(Springer Verlag, 2017) Yacoub, Ely; Tayfur, GökmenDrought Indexes (DIs) are commonly used for assessing the effect of drought such as the duration and severity. In this study, long term precipitation records (monthly recorded for 44 years) in three stations (Boutilimit (station 1), Nouakchott (station 2), and Rosso (station 3)) are employed to investigate the drought characteristics in Trarza region in Mauritania. Six DI methods, namely normal Standardized Precipitation Index (normal-SPI), log normal Standardized Precipitation Index (log-SPI), Standardized Precipitation Index using Gamma distribution (Gamma-SPI), Percent of Normal (PN), the China-Z index (CZI), and Deciles are used for this purpose. The DI methods are based on 1-, 3-, 6-, and 12 month time periods. The results showed that DIs produce almost the same results for the Trarza region. The droughts are detected in the seventies and eighties more than the 1990s. Twelve drought years might be experienced in station 2 and six in stations 1 and 3 in every 44 years, according to reoccurrence probability of the gamma-SPI and log-SPI results. Stations 1 and 3 might experience fewer drought years than station 2, which is located right on the coast. In station 1, which is located inland, when the annual rainfall is less than 123 mm, it is likely that severe drought would occur. This is 63 mm/year for station 2 and 205 mm/year for station 3 which is located in the south west on the Senegal River. DI results indicate that the CZI and the gamma-SPI methods make similar predictions and the log-SPI makes extreme drought predictions for the monthly period for all the stations. For longer periods (3-, 6-, and 12 month period), for all the stations, the log-SPI and the gamma-SPI produce similar results, making severe drought predictions while the normal-SPI and the CZI methods predict more wet and fewer drought cases. The log-SPI, the gamma-SPI, PN and Deciles were able to capture the historical extreme and severe droughts observed in early 1970s and early 1980s.Article Citation - WoS: 40Citation - Scopus: 50Analysis and Assessment of Hydrochemical Characteristics of Maragheh-Bonab Plain Aquifer, Northwest of Iran(Springer Verlag, 2017) Fijani, Elham; Moghaddam, Asghar A.; Tsai, Frank T.-C.; Tayfur, GökmenThe present study aims at assessing the hydrochemistry of the groundwater system of the Maragheh-Bonab Plain located in the East Azarbaijan Province, northwest of Iran. The groundwater is used mainly for drinking, agriculture and industry. The study also discusses the issue of the industrial untreated wastewater discharge to the Plain aquifer that is a high Ca-Cl water type with TDS value of about 150 g/L. The hydrogeochemical study is conducted by collecting and analyzing the groundwater samples from July and September of 2013. The studied system contains three major groundwater types, namely Ca–Mg–HCO3, Na–Cl, and non-dominant water, based on the analysis of the major ions. The main processes contributing to chemical compositions in the groundwater are the dissolution along the flow path, dedolomitisation, ion exchange reactions, and the mixing with wastewater. According to the computed water quality index (WQI) ranging from 25.45 to 194.35, the groundwater in the plain can be categorized into “excellent water”, “good water”, and “poor water”. There is a resemblance between the spatial distribution of the WQI and hydrochemical water types in the Piper diagram. The “excellent” quality water broadly coincides with the Ca-Mg-HCO3 water type. The “poor” water matches with the Na–Cl water type, and the “good” quality water coincides with blended water. The results indicate that this aquifer suffers from intense human activities which are forcing the aquifer into a critical condition.Article Citation - WoS: 4Citation - Scopus: 8Investigating a Suitable Empirical Model and Performing Regional Analysis for the Suspended Sediment Load Prediction in Major Rivers of the Aegean Region, Turkey(Springer Verlag, 2017) Ülke, Aslı; Tayfur, Gökmen; Özkul, SevinçThis study investigates the appropriateness of four major empirical methods [Lane and Kalinske, Einstein, Brooks, Chang—Simons—Richardson] for predicting suspended sediment loads (SSLs) in three major rivers in the Aegean Region, Turkey. The measured data from 1975 to 2005 were used to test performance of the models. It was found that Brooks method was more appropriate, among the others, for predicting suspended sediment loads from each river. The prediction results of Brooks method were further improved by the use of genetic algorithm (GA_Brooks) optimizing a fitting parameter and showing a comparable performance to those of artificial neural networks (ANNs) and neuro-fuzzy (ANFIS) models for the same rivers. GA_Brooks, ANNs, and ANFIS models can be used for predicting loads at a regional scale. The sensitivity analysis results revealed that suspended and bed material particle diameters affect suspended sediment loads significantly.Article Citation - WoS: 76Citation - Scopus: 84Two-Dimensional Numerical Modeling of Flood Wave Propagation in an Urban Area Due To Ürkmez Dam-Break, Izmir, Turkey(Springer Verlag, 2016) Haltas, İsmail; Tayfur, Gökmen; Elçi, ŞebnemThis study investigated flood inundation in an urban area due to a possible failure of Ürkmez Dam in İzmir, Turkey. The estimation of flood hydrograph upon partial failure of the dam and routing of the flood hydrograph along the narrow valley downstream were first performed by the one-dimensional hydraulic routing model HEC-RAS. The two-dimensional hydraulic routing model FLO-2D is then used to simulate the spreading of the dam-break flood after the flood wave exits the valley. Land use and land cover digital maps were utilized to find the spatially varying roughness coefficient for the floodplain. The influence of the buildings on the flood propagation was represented in the numerical model by the area reduction factor as well as the width reduction factor. The peak flow depth, peak flow velocity and time moment of the peak flow depth maps were shown in the GIS environment. The results reveal that flow depths can reach about 3 m in the residential area. In about 40 min after the dam-break, houses in the large section of the town would be under the maximum flow depths. The two-dimensional hydrodynamic model results were tested against experimental dam-break flow data of the distorted physical model of Ürkmez Dam, which is consisted of the reservoir, dam body and downstream area including Ürkmez Town. The model successfully simulated experimental flow depth data measured at different measurement locations.Editorial Citation - WoS: 5Citation - Scopus: 7Editorial: Water Resources Management in a Changing World: Challenges and Opportunities(Springer Verlag, 2016) Tayfur, Gökmen; Önöz, Bihrat; Cancelliere, Antonino; Garrote, LuisAlthough the science of water management has experienced significant improvements over the past century, many issues still require the attention of the scientific community. Global change, growing population and increasing pressure on existing water supplies have intensified the need for further improvement of water resources management practice. The purpose of this special issue is to present some of the latest research carried out in the area of water resources management under uncertain and changing conditions. Articles in this issue highlight recent advances in this area covering all the aspects of the hydrologic cycle.Article Citation - WoS: 17Citation - Scopus: 19Rainfall-Runoff Model Considering Microtopography Simulated in a Laboratory Erosion Flume(Springer Verlag, 2016) Aksoy, Hafzullah; Gedikli, Abdullah; Ünal, Necati Erdem; Yılmaz, Murat; Eriş, Ebru; Yoon, Jaeyoung; Tayfur, GökmenA comprehensive process-based rainfall-runoff model for simulating overland flow generated in rills and on interrill areas of a hillslope is evaluated using a laboratory experimental data set. For laboratory experiments, a rainfall simulator has been constructed together with a 6.50 m × 1.36 m erosion flume that can be given adjustable slopes changing between 5 % and 20 % in both longitudinal and lateral directions. The model is calibrated and validated using experimental data of simulated rainfall intensities between 45 and 105 mm/h. Results show that the model is capable of simulating the flow coming from the rill and interrill areas. It is found that most of the flow occurs in the form of rill flow. The hillslope-scale model can be used for better prediction of overland flow at the watershed-scale; it can also be used as a building block for an associated erosion and sediment transport model.Article Citation - WoS: 49Citation - Scopus: 51Numerical Simulation of Flood Wave Propagation in Two-Dimensions in Densely Populated Urban Areas Due To Dam Break(Springer Verlag, 2016) Haltaş, İsmail; Elçi, Şebnem; Tayfur, GökmenDams are important structures having many functions such as water supply, flood control, hydroelectric power and recreation. Although dam break failures are very rare events, dams can fail with little warning and the damage at the downstream of the dam due to the flood wave can be catastrophic. During a dam failure, immense volume of water is mobilized at very high speed in a very short time. The momentum of the flood wave can turn to a very destructive impact force in residential areas. Therefore, from risk point of view, understanding the consequences of a possible dam failure is critically important. This study deals with the methodology utilized for predicting the flood wave occurring after the dam break and analyses the propagation of the flood wave downstream of the dam. The methodology used in this study includes creation of bathymetric, DEM and land use maps; routing of the flood wave along the valley using a 1D model; and two dimensional numerical modeling of the propagation and spreading of flood wave for various dam breaching scenarios in two different urban areas. Such a methodology is a vital tool for decision-making process since it takes into account the spatial heterogeneity of the basin parameters to predict flood wave propagation downstream of the dam. Proposed methodology is applied to two dams; Porsuk Dam located in Eskişehir and Alibey Dam located in Istanbul, Turkey. Both dams are selected based on the fact that they have dense residential areas downstream and such a failure would be disastrous in both cases. Model simulations based on three different dam breaching scenarios showed that maximum flow depth can reach to 5 m at the border of the residential areas both in Eskişehir and in Istanbul with a maximum flow velocity of 5 m/s and flood waves having 0.3 m height reach to the boundary of the residential area within 1 to 2 h. Flooded area in Eskişehir was estimated as 127 km2, whereas in Istanbul this area was 8.4 km2 in total.Article Citation - WoS: 28Citation - Scopus: 32Describing the Karst Evolution by the Exploitation of Hydrologic Time-Series Data(Springer Verlag, 2015) Katsanou, K.; Lambrakis, Nicolaos J.; Tayfur, Gökmen; Baba, AlperThe importance of the groundwater management of karst aquifers relatively to their complexity requires the knowledge of the subsurface flow and storage behavior. In this study, a methodological approach based on the exploitation of daily spring’s discharge data was developed and tested. The methodology makes use of the hydrograph recession curves, the correlograms output, and the logarithmically structured duration curves. This methodological approach was applied to the complex karst system of Louros basin. The Louros karst system consists of individual karst units discharged by respective springs which are distributed on three levels and form three easily distinguishable groups. The application results revealed a well organized karst system with conduits of slow and fast flow. It also revealed the uniformity and the complexity of the different units, as well as the properties, such as the storativity and the evolutionary process. This approach demonstrates the benefits of interpreting different methods in a hydrologically meaningful way for the recharge data evaluation.
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